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Accurate Prediction and Validation of Response to Endocrine Therapy in Breast Cancer.

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TitleAccurate Prediction and Validation of Response to Endocrine Therapy in Breast Cancer.
Publication TypeJournal Article
Year of Publication2015
AuthorsTurnbull, AK, Arthur, LM, Renshaw, L, Larionov, AA, Kay, C, Dunbier, AK, Thomas, JS, Dowsett, M, Sims, AH, J Dixon, M
JournalJ Clin Oncol
Volume33
Issue20
Pagination2270-8
Date Published2015 Jul 10
ISSN1527-7755
KeywordsAntineoplastic Agents, Hormonal, Apoptosis Regulatory Proteins, Aromatase Inhibitors, Biopsy, Breast Neoplasms, Chemotherapy, Adjuvant, Cytokine Receptor gp130, Disease-Free Survival, Female, Gene Expression Profiling, Gene Expression Regulation, Neoplastic, Humans, Immunohistochemistry, Individualized Medicine, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Minichromosome Maintenance Complex Component 4, Neoadjuvant Therapy, Nerve Tissue Proteins, Nitriles, Oligonucleotide Array Sequence Analysis, Predictive Value of Tests, Reproducibility of Results, Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction, Time Factors, Treatment Outcome, Triazoles, Tumor Markers, Biological
Abstract

PURPOSE: Aromatase inhibitors (AIs) have an established role in the treatment of breast cancer. Response rates are only 50% to 70% in the neoadjuvant setting and lower in advanced disease. Accurate biomarkers are urgently needed to predict response in these settings and to determine which individuals will benefit from adjuvant AI therapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS: Pretreatment and on-treatment (after 2 weeks and 3 months) biopsies were obtained from 89 postmenopausal women who had estrogen receptor-alpha positive breast cancer and were receiving neoadjuvant letrozole for transcript profiling. Dynamic clinical response was assessed with use of three-dimensional ultrasound measurements.

RESULTS: The molecular response to letrozole was characterized and a four-gene classifier of clinical response was established (accuracy of 96%) on the basis of the level of two genes before treatment (one gene [IL6ST] was associated with immune signaling, and the other [NGFRAP1] was associated with apoptosis) and the level of two proliferation genes (ASPM, MCM4) after 2 weeks of therapy. The four-gene signature was found to be 91% accurate in a blinded, completely independent validation data set of patients treated with anastrozole. Matched 2-week on-treatment biopsies were associated with improved predictive power as compared with pretreatment biopsies alone. This signature also significantly predicted recurrence-free survival (P = .029) and breast cancer -specific survival (P = .009). We demonstrate that the test can also be performed with use of quantitative polymerase chain reaction or immunohistochemistry.

CONCLUSION: A four-gene predictive model of clinical response to AIs by 2 weeks has been generated and validated. Deregulated immune and apoptotic responses before treatment and cell proliferation that is not reduced 2 weeks after initiation of treatment are functional characteristics of breast tumors that do not respond to AIs.

DOI10.1200/JCO.2014.57.8963
Alternate JournalJ. Clin. Oncol.
PubMed ID26033813